Ukraine attacks Russia with drones
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The “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10% in the past 24 hours. The May 31, 2026 sub-market shows 5.5% YES, a slight decrease from 6% a day ago.
Russia and Ukraine have agreed to stop attacking ships in the Black Sea after intense negotiations with the US in Saudi Arabia. It is not the full ceasefire Donald Trump is continuing to push for three years into Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, but ...